Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 302.530504 342.581611 387.186990 440.771759 503.689735 575.579281 664.444626
2025-06-29 241.639335 293.461265 356.396590 439.338591 547.092438 684.190743 874.836999
2025-07-06 201.475921 255.243541 324.095595 420.278472 553.686248 736.057079 1011.177014
2025-07-13 185.624258 243.988655 322.298562 437.572503 607.359513 855.661589 1260.939502
2025-07-20 174.163539 236.295171 323.105214 456.936788 665.010677 988.794998 1558.128133
2025-07-27 160.290430 223.172887 314.008415 459.557429 696.484423 1085.532726 1816.368785
2025-08-03 145.251834 206.538899 297.519243 448.043760 702.722986 1140.607606 2012.116520
2025-08-10 133.246189 193.121035 284.244671 439.522620 711.892797 1201.056603 2230.540410
2025-08-17 127.576258 188.740382 284.365228 452.657179 759.880929 1339.353125 2639.643591
2025-08-24 119.587123 179.926277 276.377644 450.748886 779.972070 1427.547206 2964.413665
2025-08-31 111.539776 170.307811 266.095812 443.441266 788.529395 1493.651345 3256.068885
2025-09-07 105.865069 164.087835 260.898944 444.600651 813.478543 1598.154682 3671.899275
2025-09-14 98.599589 154.822865 249.942213 434.360056 815.114424 1654.753578 3989.481627
2025-09-21 93.354835 148.619918 243.858833 432.824103 834.901204 1757.308154 4472.179323
2025-09-28 86.120883 138.448018 229.814676 414.121039 814.913054 1761.306449 4666.916948
2025-10-05 84.518181 138.015101 233.418398 431.103184 876.587549 1980.120989 5618.994640
2025-10-12 83.230259 138.019070 237.785737 450.117179 946.123026 2236.620318 6823.607350
2025-10-19 79.989730 134.225064 234.588702 452.690107 976.804656 2394.979883 7754.809075
2025-10-26 75.400996 127.637214 225.463932 441.385506 971.433618 2449.120312 8305.975098
2025-11-02 71.498759 122.096277 217.997649 433.018342 972.404857 2522.903062 8981.071011
2025-11-09 70.136511 121.268091 219.851494 445.915293 1031.034518 2790.149005 10681.647880
2025-11-16 67.357134 117.539268 215.527888 444.041616 1049.642182 2933.861724 11891.590632
2025-11-23 64.257911 113.007481 209.229129 436.866258 1052.512369 3025.877205 12901.351065